UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%UCF

50.5%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -102

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 81

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreColorado 82

Team Comparison

UCFMetricColorado

57.1MMH Power Index52.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency112.9

110.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.3Net Efficiency0.5

6.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

71.2Tempo71.0

53.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–52.7), offensive efficiency (113.3–112.9), defensive efficiency (110.0–112.4), net efficiency (3.3–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHball security (14.6–16.0), free throw rate (37.9–31.1).

Final

UCF

95—86

Colorado

UCF by 9 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATColorado

33-54FG29-56

61.0%FG%52.0%

15-243PT11-20

63.0%3PT%55.0%

14-21FT17-22

67.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds23

7Offensive Rebounds4

18Assists17

12Turnovers9

4Steals9

2Blocks1

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	24	7-12	6-8	2-2	4	2	0	0	22
Themus Fulks	G	32	6-10	1-2	6-9	3	8	1	0	19
Jamichael Stillwell	F	30	6-10	0-0	3-5	7	4	0	0	15
Devan Cambridge	F	25	4-6	2-4	1-1	1	2	0	0	11
Chris Johnson	G	16	4-6	2-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	10
Carmelo Pacheco	G	21	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Jordan Burks	F	32	2-6	1-4	2-2	6	2	1	1	7
John Bol	C	20	1-1	0-0	0-2	10	0	1	1	2

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	G	39	7-13	3-7	3-3	1	6	1	0	20
Barrington Hargress	G	33	6-8	3-3	5-6	1	4	0	0	20
Sebastian Rancik	F	30	7-12	3-6	3-3	3	2	4	0	20
Bangot Dak	F	28	4-9	0-0	3-4	9	0	0	1	11
Jalin Holland	G	26	2-4	2-3	3-5	3	2	2	0	9
Alon Michaeli	F	21	3-8	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	0	6
Felix Kossaras	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Elijah Malone	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josiah Sanders	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ian Inman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

135.1Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency135.1

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

75.0%Effective FG%61.6%

74.2%True Shooting %64.7%

17.4%Turnover Rate12.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate39.3%

44.4%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

UCF won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.