Saint Peter's

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Saint Peter's

76.9%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL135.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -333

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 64

Projected Total135.9

Projected ScoreMerrimack 72

Team Comparison

Saint Peter'sMetricMerrimack

47.5MMH Power Index53.7

106.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

103.0Defensive Efficiency103.2

3.6Net Efficiency3.2

-3.8Strength of Schedule0.7

-1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

66.4Tempo64.4

47.6%Effective FG%49.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.8%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.4Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–47.5), strength of schedule (0.7–-3.8), recent form (12.9–-1.5), shooting efficiency (49.3–47.6).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–106.4), defensive efficiency (103.0–103.2), net efficiency (3.6–3.2).

Final

Saint Peter's

59—67

Merrimack

Merrimack by 8 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Peter'sTEAM STATMerrimack

19-64FG19-47

30.0%FG%40.0%

4-223PT7-16

18.0%3PT%44.0%

17-24FT22-25

71.0%FT%88.0%

49Rebounds26

28Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists10

16Turnovers11

7Steals11

2Blocks5

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	24	5-14	2-7	2-3	2	2	1	0	14
Lucas Scroggins	F	24	5-11	0-0	2-5	14	1	2	1	12
Brent Bland	G	39	2-11	1-7	6-7	7	3	1	0	11
Adetokunbo Bakare	G	17	2-7	1-4	2-2	4	2	2	0	7
Zaakir Williamson	F	20	1-5	0-0	4-5	5	0	0	0	6
Elijah Perkins	G	29	2-4	0-0	1-2	7	2	1	0	5
Jahki Gupton	F	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Bryce Eaton	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
TJ Robinson	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shaedon Simpson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ernest Shelton	G	40	4-8	2-4	11-11	3	2	2	3	21
Kevair Kennedy	G	40	4-13	0-0	9-10	4	3	5	0	17
Tye Dorset	G	40	5-10	3-5	2-2	3	2	2	0	15
Todd Brogna	F	25	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
KC Ugwuakazi	F	30	3-7	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	6
Andrés Marrero	G	23	0-2	0-2	0-2	0	2	1	0	0
Dylan Veillette	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

93.4Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency93.4

-12.7Net Efficiency12.7

32.8%Effective FG%47.9%

39.1%True Shooting %56.9%

25.2%Turnover Rate17.5%

37.5%Free Throw Rate53.2%

34.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.