Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Troy

48.8%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -105

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 80

Team Comparison

TroyMetricGeorgia Southern

54.1MMH Power Index49.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency110.6

8.7Net Efficiency1.7

-2.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

70.4Tempo72.0

52.1%Effective FG%52.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.5%

6.1Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.1), offensive efficiency (112.6–112.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.6), net efficiency (8.7–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–17.1), free throw rate (39.5–36.8).

Final

Troy

83—78

Georgia Southern

Troy by 5 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

28-57FG27-56

49.0%FG%48.0%

9-253PT11-32

36.0%3PT%34.0%

18-24FT13-17

75.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds26

17Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists13

13Turnovers8

5Steals8

2Blocks3

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Valdes	F	29	6-14	2-6	8-10	3	3	0	0	22
Thomas Dowd	F	37	4-10	1-4	7-8	12	2	1	1	16
Cobi Campbell	G	21	4-6	4-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	12
Jerrell Bellamy	C	16	5-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	10
Theo Seng	F	26	3-7	0-2	2-3	7	1	1	0	8
Cooper Campbell	G	34	2-8	1-5	0-0	2	3	1	0	5
Kerrington Kiel	F	22	2-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	1	0	5
Austin Cross	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Javen Colbert	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alden Applewhite	F	34	6-12	1-5	6-7	4	1	3	0	19
Spudd Webb	G	35	5-8	3-5	4-4	6	2	1	0	17
Tyren Moore	G	33	6-11	2-7	0-0	1	4	2	1	14
Nakavieon White	F	27	3-11	2-7	3-6	5	3	1	0	11
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	15	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Shainen Carter	F	22	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	6
Khayri Dunn	G	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Andres Burney	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jayden Williams	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

130.1Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency130.1

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

57.0%Effective FG%58.0%

60.7%True Shooting %60.9%

20.2%Turnover Rate12.7%

42.1%Free Throw Rate30.4%

43.9%3-Point Rate57.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Troy won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.