Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Eastern Illinois

79.1%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -378

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 68

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricMorehead State

39.9MMH Power Index47.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency110.8

104.4Defensive Efficiency110.0

-4.8Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.0

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.4Tempo67.9

47.5%Effective FG%51.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

33.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–99.6), net efficiency (0.8–-4.8), recent form (3.1–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–110.0), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Eastern Illinois

68—73

Morehead State

Morehead State by 5 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATMorehead State

21-58FG24-46

36.0%FG%52.0%

6-143PT4-8

43.0%3PT%50.0%

20-24FT21-24

83.0%FT%88.0%

30Rebounds30

19Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists10

12Turnovers17

8Steals4

—Blocks10

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Preston Turner	G	26	5-12	4-5	4-4	3	1	0	18
Kooper Jacobi	F	32	5-12	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	13
Zion Fruster	G	33	3-12	0-1	3-4	0	3	0	9
Nazareth Fisher	F	14	1-2	0-0	5-6	7	0	0	7
Meechie White	G	34	2-6	1-3	1-2	4	3	5	6
Terry McMorris	F	21	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	5
Andre Washington	G	19	1-7	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	4
Malik Olafioye	G	9	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	4
Prince Johnson	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Dawson	G	28	6-9	2-3	4-4	0	3	0	0	18
George Marshall	G	36	3-6	1-2	5-6	2	2	0	2	12
Anouar Mellouk	F	32	5-9	0-1	2-2	11	0	2	4	12
Davion Cunningham	G	30	3-9	0-1	4-6	3	1	0	0	10
Josiah LeGree	G	12	3-4	1-1	2-2	1	1	1	2	9
Tamaury Releford	C	20	2-6	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	1	6
Jon Carroll	F	19	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
Vince Dawson III	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Tyonne Farrell	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

41.4%Effective FG%56.5%

49.0%True Shooting %63.6%

19.2%Turnover Rate27.2%

41.4%Free Throw Rate52.2%

24.1%3-Point Rate17.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.