Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Murray State

79.1%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -378

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 70

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 79

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricNorthern Iowa

53.6MMH Power Index61

115.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.0Net Efficiency12.0

3.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

72.3Tempo64.1

54.0%Effective FG%54.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate26.2%

2.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Murray State

76—81

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 5 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

26-62FG31-54

42.0%FG%57.0%

7-263PT7-15

27.0%3PT%47.0%

17-20FT12-21

85.0%FT%57.0%

35Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists14

9Turnovers8

5Steals5

3Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roman Domon	G	27	7-12	2-4	13-15	2	0	2	0	29
Fred King	C	23	7-13	0-0	2-2	11	0	1	2	16
Layne Taylor	G	30	5-9	3-7	0-0	2	3	0	0	13
Javon Jackson	G	28	4-11	1-2	0-0	7	4	1	0	9
JJ Traynor	F	23	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	7
Brayden Shorter	G	14	0-5	0-5	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Mason Miller	F	25	0-4	0-4	0-1	4	0	0	0	0
Mathis Courbon	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
KJ Tenner	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Brock Vice	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	34	10-14	5-7	2-3	5	5	2	0	27
Leon Bond III	F	37	7-11	0-1	2-4	6	2	1	1	16
Will Hornseth	F	28	6-9	0-0	2-6	6	3	0	0	14
Max Weisbrod	G	30	2-2	2-2	3-4	5	0	0	0	9
Ben Schwieger	F	25	3-7	0-1	1-1	4	0	2	0	7
Ismael Diouf	F	12	3-6	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	1	6
Kyle Pock	F	13	0-2	0-2	2-3	0	0	0	0	2
RJ Taylor	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

114.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency114.6

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

47.6%Effective FG%63.9%

53.1%True Shooting %63.3%

13.5%Turnover Rate12.1%

32.3%Free Throw Rate38.9%

41.9%3-Point Rate27.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.