San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%San Diego State

42.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -135

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUNLV

60.1MMH Power Index52.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

11.0Net Efficiency1.4

3.8Strength of Schedule2.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

70.8Tempo71.4

53.2%Effective FG%53.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.6%

7.8Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

82—71

UNLV

San Diego State by 11 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUNLV

26-46FG26-51

57.0%FG%51.0%

8-133PT7-21

62.0%3PT%33.0%

22-26FT12-22

85.0%FT%55.0%

25Rebounds25

3Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists11

13Turnovers13

7Steals8

1Blocks2

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	33	7-8	5-5	4-4	1	5	4	0	23
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	32	3-11	2-6	5-6	7	2	2	0	13
Taj DeGourville	G	19	4-6	1-2	4-5	2	3	0	0	13
Miles Heide	F	26	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	9
Pharaoh Compton	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Sean Newman Jr.	G	11	2-2	0-0	2-3	1	2	0	0	6
Elzie Harrington	G	26	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Tae Simmons	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jeremiah Oden	F	12	0-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	4
BJ Davis	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	1	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	34	11-21	1-7	4-6	2	2	1	1	27
Kimani Hamilton	F	36	3-7	2-4	4-4	2	1	0	0	12
Tyrin Jones	F	34	4-5	0-0	2-10	4	2	3	0	10
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	33	2-7	1-4	2-2	6	2	1	0	7
Issac Williamson	G	11	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Emmanuel Stephen	C	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	2	1	4
Walter Brown	F	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jacob Bannarbie	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Al Green	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

120.6Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency120.6

16.2Net Efficiency-16.2

65.2%Effective FG%57.8%

70.3%True Shooting %57.8%

19.0%Turnover Rate19.3%

56.5%Free Throw Rate43.1%

28.3%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.38Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.