Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -29.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -9900

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreBoise State 89

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricBoise State

23MMH Power Index59.5

91.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

-27.2Net Efficiency6.8

6.2Strength of Schedule4.2

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.4Tempo68.6

49.0%Effective FG%52.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%

-18.3Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–4.2).

Final

Air Force

54—96

Boise State

Boise State by 42 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATBoise State

20-48FG33-58

42.0%FG%57.0%

8-223PT12-23

36.0%3PT%52.0%

6-11FT18-25

55.0%FT%72.0%

19Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists18

12Turnovers4

1Steals7

3Blocks3

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	22	4-9	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	10
Eli Robinson	F	24	4-7	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Lucas Hobin	F	28	3-9	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Wesley Celichowski	C	18	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	1	7
Riley Dering	F	9	2-2	0-0	3-7	0	0	1	1	7
Josh Gatete	F	7	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ethan Greenberg	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
A.J. Patterson	G	17	1-4	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Elliott Taite	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Justin Hinds	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Kolby Gilles	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Brendan Martin	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Imade	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Catchings	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	19	8-9	1-1	3-4	8	1	0	1	20
Spencer Ahrens	F	27	6-10	4-6	2-3	5	3	2	1	18
Aginaldo Neto	G	23	3-4	1-1	4-5	4	3	2	0	11
Pearson Carmichael	F	19	4-8	1-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	9
Javan Buchanan	F	13	3-4	1-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	8
RJ Keene II	G	17	2-3	2-2	0-0	7	2	0	1	6
Dominic Parolin	F	17	1-6	0-1	4-4	4	1	1	0	6
Bhan Buom	F	21	2-5	1-4	0-2	2	1	1	0	5
Andrew Meadow	F	17	2-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Ethan Lathan	F	4	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Brennan Ramirez	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dylan Andrews	G	18	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Rayzhon Bergersen	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

87.0Offensive Efficiency154.6

154.6Defensive Efficiency87.0

-67.6Net Efficiency67.6

50.0%Effective FG%67.2%

50.7%True Shooting %68.7%

19.6%Turnover Rate6.4%

22.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

45.8%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.83Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

Boise State won by 42 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.