South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%South Alabama

64.0%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -178

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 75

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreMarshall 79

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricMarshall

51.4MMH Power Index52

110.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

103.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.9

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

67.4Tempo70.7

53.2%Effective FG%55.2%

12.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (103.9–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (3.4–-4.9), ball security (12.8–16.5).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.0–51.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–110.3), strength of schedule (0.9–-3.7).

Final

South Alabama

80—84

Marshall

Marshall by 4 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATMarshall

33-62FG30-63

53.0%FG%48.0%

5-173PT18-46

29.0%3PT%39.0%

9-13FT6-9

69.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists26

10Turnovers7

6Steals5

—Blocks6

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	36	11-20	0-1	6-8	5	8	0	28
Adam Olsen	F	36	8-15	5-9	0-0	4	0	0	21
Stephen Williams	F	28	9-11	0-0	1-3	11	0	1	19
JJ Wheat	G	25	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	2	6
Randy Brady	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	4
John Broom	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	7	1	2	2
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	22	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0
Jayden Cooper	G	19	0-7	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wyatt Fricks	F	35	11-17	1-7	4-5	7	2	0	5	27
Jalen Speer	G	36	6-13	6-12	0-0	8	7	0	0	18
Wilson Dubinsky	G	25	4-11	4-9	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
Landen Joseph	G	37	3-11	3-10	1-2	4	6	2	0	10
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	13	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Noah Otshudi	G	33	2-5	1-3	1-2	2	7	2	0	6
Erich Harding	F	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

123.5Offensive Efficiency129.6

129.6Defensive Efficiency123.5

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

57.3%Effective FG%61.9%

58.7%True Shooting %62.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate10.9%

21.0%Free Throw Rate14.3%

27.4%3-Point Rate73.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover3.71

Game Summary

Marshall won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.