Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Bowling Green

72.4%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -262

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricToledo

54.7MMH Power Index58.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

99.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

13.5Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule2.3

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

72.2Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

9.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Bowling Green

72—73

Toledo

Toledo by 1 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATToledo

29-55FG27-67

53.0%FG%40.0%

6-173PT8-25

35.0%3PT%32.0%

8-12FT11-12

67.0%FT%92.0%

39Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists12

16Turnovers7

6Steals6

2Blocks7

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	40	12-20	2-5	3-4	6	8	3	0	29
Sam Towns	F	40	5-7	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	0	11
Troy Glover II	F	24	4-4	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	1	9
Josiah Shackelford	G	23	3-9	0-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Mayar Wol	F	22	3-8	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	8
Javon Ruffin	G	32	2-5	2-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Camden Karel	F	1	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Aiden Goins	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Justin Thomas	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	31	8-17	2-8	1-2	4	5	0	0	19
Austin Parks	C	30	4-8	0-0	6-6	6	0	0	5	14
Sean Craig	F	34	4-10	3-5	2-2	7	0	0	1	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	33	4-12	2-7	0-0	1	3	3	0	10
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	16	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	8
Sonny Wilson	G	39	3-12	1-4	0-0	3	4	0	0	7
Mynor Strong	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Will James Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency106.4

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

58.2%Effective FG%46.3%

59.3%True Shooting %50.2%

24.0%Turnover Rate10.2%

21.8%Free Throw Rate17.9%

30.9%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Toledo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.