UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%UC Riverside

78.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -372

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 72

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreUC Davis 82

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricUC Davis

41.2MMH Power Index48.4

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

-7.0Net Efficiency3.5

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.9

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.7Tempo72.4

49.8%Effective FG%52.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.2%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-4.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.1), net efficiency (3.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.9), offensive rebounding (28.5–26.7).

Final

UC Riverside

66—74

UC Davis

UC Davis by 8 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATUC Davis

24-57FG25-50

42.0%FG%50.0%

8-253PT7-16

32.0%3PT%44.0%

10-19FT17-25

53.0%FT%68.0%

30Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists18

13Turnovers13

5Steals4

2Blocks4

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	32	7-14	2-3	2-3	8	1	1	0	18
Andrew Henderson	G	36	6-20	4-15	0-0	3	4	0	0	16
BJ Kolly	F	27	3-5	0-0	4-6	9	0	0	0	10
Ben Waller	G	24	2-2	2-2	2-2	2	1	0	1	8
Osiris Grady	F	25	3-7	0-1	1-4	1	2	1	1	7
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	21	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	1	2	0	5
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	17	1-3	0-1	0-2	1	1	1	0	2
Tyler Jones	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nils Cooper	G	34	8-11	0-0	3-7	7	5	1	1	19
Connor Sevilla	G	34	4-8	3-6	3-4	2	0	0	0	14
Isaiah Chappell	F	27	5-8	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	2	14
Brayden Fagbemi	G	26	3-5	1-1	4-6	6	3	1	0	11
Niko Rocak	F	28	4-9	0-3	1-2	3	5	1	1	9
Omer Suljanovic	F	14	0-2	0-1	4-4	3	1	0	0	4
Marcus Wilson	G	14	1-5	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Jalen Stokes	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

96.4Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

49.1%Effective FG%57.0%

50.0%True Shooting %59.8%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

43.9%3-Point Rate32.0%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.