Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -144

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 71

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricJacksonville State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

3.9Net Efficiency6.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.8Tempo67.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate44.5%

2.7Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

58—75

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 17 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATJacksonville State

21-55FG25-51

38.0%FG%49.0%

8-233PT9-15

35.0%3PT%60.0%

8-14FT16-19

57.0%FT%84.0%

30Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists11

8Turnovers9

3Steals1

3Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamari Lands	G	34	4-13	3-9	4-4	3	3	1	1	15
Jahvin Carter	G	31	5-10	1-3	2-4	5	6	1	0	13
Tre Green	G	25	4-14	4-9	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Luka Jovanovic	C	26	4-5	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	9
Alec Oglesby	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Torey Alston	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sean Smith	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	G	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
James Dent Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AC Bryant	G	35	7-9	6-7	2-2	4	0	0	0	22
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	31	5-14	2-4	8-11	7	0	0	0	20
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	26	6-11	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	14
Jacoby Hill	G	36	4-6	1-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	9
Iaroslav Niagu	F	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	2	6
Jaye Nash	G	27	1-5	0-0	2-2	2	5	0	0	4
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jamar Franklin	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

95.2Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

-27.9Net Efficiency27.9

45.5%Effective FG%57.8%

47.0%True Shooting %62.5%

13.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

25.5%Free Throw Rate37.3%

41.8%3-Point Rate29.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.