Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Dayton

42.2%Saint Joseph's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -137

Saint Joseph's

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 72

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 72

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSaint Joseph's

59.9MMH Power Index52.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency106.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

7.0Net Efficiency4.3

5.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.7

68.3Tempo68.7

52.0%Effective FG%49.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

47.6%Free Throw Rate31.1%

4.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.5), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–102.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.3).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (6.7–6.4), offensive rebounding (32.4–26.7).

Final

Dayton

74—81

Saint Joseph's

Saint Joseph's by 7 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSaint Joseph's

28-64FG25-60

44.0%FG%42.0%

9-233PT10-31

39.0%3PT%32.0%

9-15FT21-26

60.0%FT%81.0%

37Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists13

15Turnovers12

7Steals8

7Blocks7

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	38	8-13	2-3	1-2	7	3	4	2	19
Javon Bennett	G	37	7-18	3-8	1-2	5	3	0	0	18
Malcolm Thomas	F	15	4-6	2-2	2-2	3	2	0	3	12
Bryce Heard	G	33	4-7	1-1	1-1	7	4	2	0	10
Keonte Jones	G	27	2-4	0-0	4-6	5	2	1	0	8
Jaiun Simon	F	14	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Jacob Conner	F	18	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	0	0
Amaël L'Etang	F	14	0-6	0-5	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Damon Friery	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derek Simpson	G	38	5-11	3-7	7-8	4	9	2	1	20
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	34	6-19	2-11	6-6	7	0	1	0	20
Dasear Haskins	G	30	7-9	3-5	3-4	5	1	0	0	20
Austin Williford	G	32	2-10	0-4	3-4	8	1	4	1	7
Justice Ajogbor	C	32	2-3	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	4	6
Anthony Finkley	F	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Khaafiq Myers	G	11	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jaden Smith	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

98.9Offensive Efficiency108.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency98.9

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

50.8%Effective FG%50.0%

52.0%True Shooting %56.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

23.4%Free Throw Rate43.3%

35.9%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.