East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%East Carolina

80.0%North Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Texas -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Texas -400

North Texas

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 67

Projected Total144.1

Projected ScoreNorth Texas 77

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricNorth Texas

44.3MMH Power Index52.2

102.0Offensive Efficiency104.1

110.5Defensive Efficiency99.1

-8.5Net Efficiency5.0

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.3

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.8

70.1Tempo68.1

46.7%Effective FG%47.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate41.1%

-5.9Average Margin3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Texas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Texas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (104.1–102.0), defensive efficiency (99.1–110.5), net efficiency (5.0–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–33.6).

Final

East Carolina

63—59

North Texas

East Carolina by 4 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATNorth Texas

20-47FG22-63

43.0%FG%35.0%

6-163PT4-20

38.0%3PT%20.0%

17-23FT11-16

74.0%FT%69.0%

43Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

18Turnovers7

4Steals10

7Blocks2

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	39	3-12	0-2	9-10	5	2	2	0	15
Demitri Gardner	G	30	4-9	2-4	3-4	3	1	0	0	13
Corey Caulker	G	35	4-10	3-7	0-0	1	6	0	0	11
Giovanni Emejuru	C	39	3-5	0-0	4-6	16	0	1	2	10
Isaiah Mbeng	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-1	2	2	0	0	5
Reid Cason	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	3	4
Eli DeLaurier	F	14	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Tybo Bailey	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Vito Perkovic	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	35	6-18	0-5	6-6	4	2	2	1	18
David Terrell Jr.	G	36	4-15	1-4	3-7	5	3	3	0	12
Reece Robinson	F	25	3-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	2	1	7
Cole Franklin	G	24	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Cahmai Crosby	G	20	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	0	2	0	6
Dylan Arnett	F	36	2-7	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	5
Buddy Hammer Jr.	F	11	2-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
EJ Horton	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Curtis Stinson Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Demarion Watson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

98.0Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency98.0

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

48.9%Effective FG%38.1%

54.4%True Shooting %41.8%

28.6%Turnover Rate10.7%

48.9%Free Throw Rate25.4%

34.0%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.