TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%TCU

60.3%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -152

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 77

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreBaylor 80

Team Comparison

TCUMetricBaylor

59.7MMH Power Index58.9

110.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency109.5

7.5Net Efficiency7.2

4.6Strength of Schedule4.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.2Tempo69.7

50.5%Effective FG%54.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

38.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

5.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

TCU

97—90

Baylor

TCU by 7 • 79.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATBaylor

28-54FG28-56

52.0%FG%50.0%

6-133PT8-26

46.0%3PT%31.0%

35-43FT26-36

81.0%FT%72.0%

24Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists15

11Turnovers18

8Steals7

2Blocks5

26Fouls28

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	36	6-9	3-4	10-12	2	2	0	0	25
Xavier Edmonds	F	25	6-11	0-1	11-13	10	0	1	1	23
Brock Harding	G	25	3-9	1-2	9-12	2	6	2	0	16
Tanner Toolson	G	25	5-8	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	12
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	28	3-5	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Micah Robinson	F	35	2-5	1-2	1-2	1	3	3	0	6
Vianney Salatchoum	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Kayden Edwards	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jace Posey	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Williams IV	G	29	5-9	3-5	8-10	4	2	3	1	21
Tounde Yessoufou	G	26	7-10	1-2	6-9	8	0	0	0	21
Cameron Carr	G	36	7-13	0-3	6-7	6	6	1	0	20
Obi Agbim	G	26	6-12	3-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	15
Caden Powell	C	28	1-1	0-0	4-6	5	4	2	3	6
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	29	1-6	0-4	1-2	5	1	0	1	3
Will Kuykendall	G	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Michael Rataj	G	24	0-3	0-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	1
Drew Perry	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.3Possessions79.3

122.3Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency122.3

8.8Net Efficiency-8.8

57.4%Effective FG%57.1%

65.2%True Shooting %61.6%

13.8%Turnover Rate22.8%

79.6%Free Throw Rate64.3%

24.1%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

TCU won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 79.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.