Boston College

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%Boston College

73.5%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNotre Dame -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINENotre Dame -277

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoston College 69

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 76

Team Comparison

Boston CollegeMetricNotre Dame

45.1MMH Power Index49.7

100.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

-4.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.8Strength of Schedule4.7

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

67.4Tempo68.0

47.1%Effective FG%53.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-3.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Notre Dame HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNotre Dame holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–45.1), offensive efficiency (110.3–100.0), net efficiency (-0.9–-4.8), recent form (-11.6–-14.3).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–111.2), strength of schedule (4.8–4.7), ball security (15.4–17.0).

Final

Boston College

64—68

Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 4 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boston CollegeTEAM STATNotre Dame

23-58FG24-59

40.0%FG%41.0%

9-323PT6-26

28.0%3PT%23.0%

9-14FT14-22

64.0%FT%64.0%

35Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists10

9Turnovers8

2Steals4

3Blocks3

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	36	8-17	2-10	0-0	5	4	0	0	18
Donald Hand Jr.	G	33	6-16	2-9	3-5	6	1	0	0	17
Luka Toews	G	28	5-7	4-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Boden Kapke	F	36	2-7	0-3	2-2	9	3	0	0	6
Aidan Shaw	G	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Caleb Steger	G	9	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jayden Hastings	F	23	0-1	0-0	1-3	3	2	0	3	1
Chase Forte	G	12	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	3	1	0	1
Marko Radunovic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	33	8-17	2-9	4-6	4	1	0	0	22
Jalen Haralson	F	27	8-13	0-1	1-4	4	2	0	0	17
Cole Certa	G	29	1-9	1-6	6-6	3	2	1	0	9
Carson Towt	F	34	2-3	0-0	2-4	13	2	1	1	6
Garrett Sundra	F	22	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
Brady Koehler	F	18	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	2	3
Ryder Frost	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sir Mohammed	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Logan Imes	G	18	0-5	0-3	1-2	3	2	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

99.8Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency99.8

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

47.4%Effective FG%45.8%

49.5%True Shooting %49.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate12.4%

24.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

55.2%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Notre Dame won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.