Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Idaho State

61.1%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -157

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreMontana 79

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricMontana

45.9MMH Power Index45.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency108.6

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

-2.4Net Efficiency3.8

0.2Strength of Schedule-2.4

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

67.1Tempo71.2

52.2%Effective FG%56.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-1.6Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.6), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), ball security (16.5–19.2).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–113.4), net efficiency (3.8–-2.4), recent form (-6.5–-9.6).

Final

Idaho State

60—69

Montana

Montana by 9 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATMontana

21-58FG27-57

36.0%FG%47.0%

8-253PT7-22

32.0%3PT%32.0%

10-15FT8-9

67.0%FT%89.0%

37Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists16

13Turnovers11

5Steals6

2Blocks4

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	25	6-10	1-2	5-8	7	0	3	0	18
Lachlan Brewer	G	35	4-10	2-5	2-2	6	1	0	0	12
Martin Kheil	G	32	3-10	3-9	0-1	2	2	0	0	9
Blake Daberkow	F	21	3-8	0-2	3-4	7	1	0	1	9
Louis Bond	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jamison Guerra	PG	27	1-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Gus Etchison	PG	12	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Caleb Van De Griend	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Evan Otten	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Cheikh Sow	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Quin Patterson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	33	7-14	2-5	1-2	6	5	2	1	17
Kenyon Aguino	F	33	6-11	1-2	0-0	4	3	2	1	13
Grant Kepley	G	37	4-8	2-5	2-2	4	5	1	0	12
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	25	5-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	11
Tyler Isaak	G	21	1-4	0-2	3-3	2	2	0	0	5
Brooklyn Hicks	G	13	1-3	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	5
Trae Taylor	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Tyler Thompson	G	23	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

89.3Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency89.3

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

43.1%Effective FG%53.5%

46.1%True Shooting %56.3%

19.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.9%Free Throw Rate15.8%

43.1%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Montana won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.