Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

76.0%Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern -317

Southern

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 77

Projected Total161.9

Projected ScoreSouthern 85

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricSouthern

38.7MMH Power Index44.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency108.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.2Net Efficiency2.3

-6.0Strength of Schedule-7.5

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

72.6Tempo73.3

51.4%Effective FG%51.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate40.3%

-3.8Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–38.7), offensive efficiency (108.7–106.4), defensive efficiency (106.4–111.6), net efficiency (2.3–-5.2).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.0–-7.5), shooting efficiency (51.4–51.3).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

75—74

Southern

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 1 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATSouthern

23-51FG24-58

45.0%FG%41.0%

9-243PT6-27

38.0%3PT%22.0%

20-28FT20-26

71.0%FT%77.0%

27Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists17

12Turnovers13

7Steals10

2Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	38	8-13	2-4	5-6	7	4	3	1	23
Trevon Payton	G	39	7-10	6-8	2-2	5	2	0	0	22
Jaquan Scott	F	30	3-6	1-1	7-9	3	0	1	0	14
Milhan Charles	G	33	2-6	0-1	2-3	3	1	0	1	6
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	21	1-6	0-4	3-6	3	0	2	0	5
Ahmad Johnson	G	8	1-5	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Dennis Asoro	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Alex Mirhosseini	G	23	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fazl Oshodi	G	34	5-15	5-14	2-2	1	0	3	1	17
Malek Abdelgowad	F	32	4-8	0-0	8-8	12	1	0	0	16
Michael Jacobs	G	28	6-9	1-2	2-3	4	11	1	0	15
AJ Barnes	F	35	4-12	0-6	2-2	9	2	4	0	10
DaMariee Jones	F	30	4-6	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	2	10
Ashton Magee	F	14	1-1	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	5
Brandon Hardy	G	8	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Joe Manning	G	11	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lionel Bell	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

108.1Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency108.1

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

53.9%Effective FG%46.6%

58.3%True Shooting %52.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate19.0%

54.9%Free Throw Rate44.8%

47.1%3-Point Rate46.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.