Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Northern Kentucky

70.4%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -238

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 78

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreWright State 84

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricWright State

53.9MMH Power Index57.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.8Net Efficiency9.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

72.3Tempo69.2

54.5%Effective FG%55.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.7Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

80—88

Wright State

Wright State by 8 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATWright State

32-58FG27-54

55.0%FG%50.0%

5-213PT5-14

24.0%3PT%36.0%

11-16FT29-36

69.0%FT%81.0%

26Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists8

14Turnovers10

5Steals11

1Blocks3

25Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Gherezgher	G	39	12-17	4-8	2-4	3	2	1	0	30
LJ Wells	F	32	5-7	0-1	4-6	3	1	0	1	14
Donovan Oday	G	29	5-9	0-3	4-4	4	1	1	0	14
Tae Dozier	G	31	4-6	1-3	1-2	5	0	2	0	10
Shawn Nelson	G	23	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Kael Robinson	F	21	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ethan Elliott	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Bryce Darbyshire	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ryan Tolliver	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Imariagbe	F	29	7-10	0-0	10-12	11	1	2	0	24
Michael Cooper	G	22	5-9	2-4	9-10	1	0	1	0	21
TJ Burch	G	31	7-13	1-1	1-2	3	3	4	0	16
Dominic Pangonis	G	30	4-8	2-5	2-2	3	1	2	0	12
Kellen Pickett	F	32	3-9	0-1	3-4	6	1	0	3	9
Solomon Callaghan	G	30	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	2	0	0	3
Logan Woods	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Sam Alamutu	G	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	1
Andrea Holden	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

113.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency113.6

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

59.5%Effective FG%54.6%

61.0%True Shooting %61.9%

19.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

27.6%Free Throw Rate66.7%

36.2%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Wright State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.