Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Cal State Fullerton

54.6%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL171.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -120

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 85

Projected Total171.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal Poly

49.4MMH Power Index46.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

1.7Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule1.7

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

76.3Tempo76.6

52.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.3Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–111.0), net efficiency (1.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.2), offensive rebounding (29.9–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

93—78

Cal Poly

Cal State Fullerton by 15 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal Poly

30-64FG27-62

47.0%FG%44.0%

12-323PT13-37

38.0%3PT%35.0%

21-26FT11-15

81.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds15

20Assists17

11Turnovers19

10Steals3

4Blocks1

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Williams	G	29	8-16	4-10	6-6	4	2	3	0	26
Joshua Ward	G	34	6-11	2-6	4-5	8	7	3	3	18
Kendrick De Luna	F	24	4-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Landon Seaman	F	15	3-5	0-0	4-7	1	0	1	1	10
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	29	3-10	1-4	2-2	6	3	1	0	9
Jaden Henderson	G	14	2-4	2-4	1-2	0	2	0	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	13	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Bryce Cofield	G	28	1-5	0-0	2-2	5	6	0	0	4
Davis White	G	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	3

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	33	7-14	4-8	2-4	7	1	0	0	20
Hamad Mousa	G	35	6-13	1-6	2-2	9	5	0	0	15
Jackson Mosley	PG	25	5-12	2-5	3-3	3	1	0	0	15
Jess Esso Essis	G	17	4-6	4-6	0-0	4	1	0	1	12
Peter Bandelj	G	26	2-4	0-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	6
Jake Davis	G	23	1-7	1-6	1-2	3	2	0	0	4
Kieran Elliott	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Troy Plumtree	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Ali Assran	F	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	3	0	0	1
Luka Tarlac	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

126.0Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency126.0

20.3Net Efficiency-20.3

56.3%Effective FG%54.0%

60.9%True Shooting %56.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate26.0%

40.6%Free Throw Rate24.2%

50.0%3-Point Rate59.7%

1.82Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.