Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Weber State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 75

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 82

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

113.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

5.4Net Efficiency9.5

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.5Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Weber State

88—91

Montana State

Montana State by 3 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATMontana State

31-60FG30-58

52.0%FG%52.0%

11-193PT12-29

58.0%3PT%41.0%

15-19FT19-21

79.0%FT%90.0%

22Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists10

8Turnovers12

7Steals4

1Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	34	7-16	4-7	6-6	2	4	1	0	24
Viljami Vartiainen	G	30	5-11	4-8	1-2	1	1	1	0	15
Trevor Hennig	G	22	6-9	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	15
Nigel Burris	F	24	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	9
Malek Gomma	F	27	3-4	0-0	2-3	4	3	0	0	8
Duce Paschal	G	22	3-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
ArDarius Grayson	G	12	1-1	1-1	3-3	1	1	0	0	6
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	26	2-7	0-0	0-1	6	2	3	1	4
Declan Cutler	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	33	9-14	5-9	4-5	5	3	1	0	27
Christian King	F	32	6-11	4-6	4-4	3	0	0	1	20
Seth Amunrud	G	33	2-7	2-5	7-7	3	1	1	1	13
Patrick McMahon	G	30	5-11	0-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	11
Davian Brown	G	16	4-8	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	0	11
Jaden Steppe	F	15	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	5
Chris Hodges	F	25	2-2	0-0	0-0	11	2	1	1	4
Howie Keene	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

124.8Offensive Efficiency129.1

129.1Defensive Efficiency124.8

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

60.8%Effective FG%62.1%

63.7%True Shooting %66.9%

11.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.7%Free Throw Rate36.2%

31.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.63Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Montana State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.