Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Utah Valley

60.3%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -152

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 71

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 74

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricCalifornia Baptist

59.1MMH Power Index58.3

113.4Offensive Efficiency106.5

97.3Defensive Efficiency99.0

16.1Net Efficiency7.5

-3.3Strength of Schedule1.8

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

70.6Tempo68.2

56.0%Effective FG%48.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate37.0%

11.4Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.0), net efficiency (16.1–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.3), recent form (11.0–6.8), ball security (17.9–19.9).

Final

Utah Valley

71—78

California Baptist

California Baptist by 7 • 76.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

23-61FG25-52

38.0%FG%48.0%

2-203PT6-14

10.0%3PT%43.0%

23-32FT22-31

72.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds39

13Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists4

14Turnovers17

7Steals6

1Blocks7

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Holcombe	G	39	7-21	0-3	8-11	10	1	1	0	22
Isaac Davis	F	23	7-11	0-1	4-5	5	0	1	0	18
Trevan Leonhardt	G	37	3-8	1-4	1-1	2	4	1	0	8
Hayden Welling	F	24	3-9	0-4	2-4	4	1	2	1	8
Tyler Hendricks	G	40	1-8	0-6	5-5	5	1	1	0	7
Braden Housley	G	33	2-4	1-2	0-1	6	2	1	0	5
Noah Taitz	G	20	0-0	0-0	3-5	0	0	0	0	3
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Hawkins	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	44	13-21	3-7	18-21	6	1	3	0	47
Jordan Muller	G	27	1-1	1-1	4-5	1	1	2	0	7
Martel Williams	G	41	2-8	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Jonathan Griman	F	21	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	4
Rene D'Amelio	F	19	2-4	0-1	0-2	6	0	0	3	4
Bradey Henige	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jayden Jackson	G	24	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Thomas Ndong	F	28	1-2	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	1	2
Nate Garcia	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Miles Daniels	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.0Possessions76.0

93.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency93.4

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

39.3%Effective FG%53.8%

46.6%True Shooting %58.4%

18.1%Turnover Rate22.8%

52.5%Free Throw Rate59.6%

32.8%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.24

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.