Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.9%Cincinnati

34.1%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -193

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 76

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreArizona State 73

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricArizona State

61.5MMH Power Index51

105.3Offensive Efficiency108.1

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

8.0Net Efficiency-2.8

5.1Strength of Schedule7.0

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

69.4Tempo70.6

50.6%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate40.2%

5.5Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–51.0), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-2.8), recent form (14.4–-7.5).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.1–105.3), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

68—82

Arizona State

Arizona State by 14 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATArizona State

27-60FG27-57

45.0%FG%47.0%

4-173PT13-28

24.0%3PT%46.0%

10-15FT15-21

67.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists17

15Turnovers11

8Steals7

3Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baba Miller	F	34	8-15	0-2	7-10	9	4	0	1	23
Moustapha Thiam	C	27	7-13	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	2	15
Sencire Harris	G	25	3-6	0-0	2-3	4	1	3	0	8
Jizzle James	G	27	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	22	2-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Kerr Kriisa	G	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Keyshuan Tillery	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Halvine Dzellat	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Day Day Thomas	G	30	0-6	0-3	0-0	3	6	1	0	0
Tyler McKinley	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Shon Abaev	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	37	10-17	6-11	7-8	5	8	3	0	33
Anthony Johnson	G	23	3-8	1-2	4-4	1	1	1	0	11
Santiago Trouet	F	25	3-5	1-1	3-6	5	2	1	0	10
Andrija Grbovic	F	17	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Massamba Diop	C	32	3-8	0-2	0-2	10	2	0	4	6
Noah Meeusen	G	29	2-5	1-2	1-1	5	1	1	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	22	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Allen Mukeba	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

97.7Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency97.7

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

48.3%Effective FG%58.8%

50.7%True Shooting %61.2%

21.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

25.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

28.3%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.