Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Cal State Northridge

73.1%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -272

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 75

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreHawai'i 84

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricHawai'i

50MMH Power Index54.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency109.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency97.0

2.1Net Efficiency12.4

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.8

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

75.9Tempo72.8

51.0%Effective FG%52.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.7%Free Throw Rate43.4%

1.6Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (109.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (97.0–105.2), net efficiency (12.4–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-2.8), recent form (1.8–-1.8), ball security (17.3–18.4).

Final

Cal State Northridge

68—89

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 21 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATHawai'i

27-71FG28-60

38.0%FG%47.0%

5-193PT12-30

26.0%3PT%40.0%

9-19FT21-29

47.0%FT%72.0%

42Rebounds44

17Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists15

14Turnovers17

10Steals9

2Blocks3

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	29	7-20	3-10	2-3	2	0	2	1	19
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	6-9	0-0	2-4	5	0	1	1	14
Josiah Davis	G	34	4-13	0-0	3-5	6	8	3	0	11
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	5-10	1-3	0-5	11	1	1	0	11
James Evans Jr.	G	24	4-8	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Jai Chisolm	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Davius Loury	F	23	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Jordan Brinson	G	10	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Aleks Szymczyk	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Johnson	C	16	7-10	3-4	1-3	7	0	1	1	18
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	25	4-10	3-5	5-6	6	3	1	0	16
Dre Bullock	G	31	4-12	0-4	5-6	7	2	4	0	13
Isaac Finlinson	F	30	3-7	2-4	3-4	4	1	1	1	11
Hunter Erickson	G	32	4-8	2-5	0-0	6	8	0	0	10
Isaiah Kerr	G	19	3-6	1-4	2-3	3	0	2	0	9
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	31	1-4	0-2	4-5	1	1	0	1	6
Yacine Toumi	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Hunter Carter	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
AJ Economou	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

87.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency87.9

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

41.5%Effective FG%56.7%

42.5%True Shooting %60.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

26.8%Free Throw Rate48.3%

26.8%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.