Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%Chicago State

82.6%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL138.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -475

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 63

Projected Total138.6

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 75

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricMercyhurst

36.1MMH Power Index45.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency105.2

114.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

-15.5Net Efficiency3.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

66.2Tempo65.9

45.6%Effective FG%50.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.4%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-10.3Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–114.9), net efficiency (3.0–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.7), offensive rebounding (29.1–26.8), free throw rate (30.7–25.4).

Final

Chicago State

59—61

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 2 • 57.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATMercyhurst

21-56FG23-50

38.0%FG%46.0%

9-233PT10-25

39.0%3PT%40.0%

8-11FT5-7

73.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists19

6Turnovers12

6Steals4

—Blocks3

8Fouls9

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Doyel Cockrill III	G	27	4-10	2-5	3-3	3	2	1	13
Braelon Bush	G	23	5-7	3-5	0-0	3	1	2	13
Marcus Tankersley	G	31	4-12	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	11
CJ Ray	F	33	3-10	2-4	2-2	3	2	1	10
Dailliss Cox	F	36	2-6	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	4
Corey Sands	G	16	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	3
Chauncey Gibson	G	13	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	2	0	3
Malek Robinson	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	3	2	2
Daniel Zatsepin	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Dakari Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	32	6-13	4-11	3-4	3	1	1	0	19
Christian Gamble	G	31	5-9	2-6	0-0	5	4	1	0	12
Jake Lemelman	G	30	5-10	2-4	0-0	1	5	1	0	12
Qadir Martin	F	33	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	2	6
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	25	1-3	0-0	1-1	12	2	0	1	3
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Sean Lang	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
James Thomas	F	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Cameron Johnson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.8Possessions57.8

102.1Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency102.1

-3.5Net Efficiency3.5

45.5%Effective FG%56.0%

48.2%True Shooting %57.2%

10.5%Turnover Rate20.6%

19.6%Free Throw Rate14.0%

41.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 57.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.