Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Central Connecticut

44.6%Stonehill

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -124

Stonehill

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 70

Projected Total139.5

Projected ScoreStonehill 70

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricStonehill

44.4MMH Power Index37.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency97.5

107.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

4.4Net Efficiency-3.2

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.4

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.4

66.3Tempo68.1

54.0%Effective FG%48.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate19.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate29.2%

2.9Average Margin-2.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–37.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–97.5), net efficiency (4.4–-3.2), recent form (-0.5–-3.4).

Stonehill COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.4–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Central Connecticut

59—61

Stonehill

Stonehill by 2 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATStonehill

26-55FG21-52

47.0%FG%40.0%

5-113PT3-22

45.0%3PT%14.0%

2-4FT16-24

50.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists11

13Turnovers13

7Steals9

3Blocks4

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	37	5-12	0-1	2-4	5	1	1	0	12
Melo Sanchez	G	31	5-9	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	11
Jay Rodgers	G	31	5-11	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Daniel James	F	34	3-8	2-6	0-0	8	2	2	1	8
Max Frazier	F	33	4-9	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	0	8
Nico Ashley	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Roddy Jones	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Ashton Reynolds	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ridvan Tutic	F	19	4-5	0-0	4-6	7	0	0	0	12
Trenton Ruth	G	12	4-7	2-4	2-3	3	1	1	0	12
Rex Sunderland	G	35	4-10	1-7	0-0	4	4	5	1	9
Chas Stinson	G	29	2-9	0-2	4-6	3	2	2	0	8
Davante Hackett	G	27	2-4	0-1	4-6	3	2	1	1	8
Ethan Meuser	F	23	3-9	0-4	2-3	6	0	0	0	8
Hermann Koffi	G	37	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Raymond Espinal-Guzman	F	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Pearse McGuinn	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

89.8Offensive Efficiency92.8

92.8Defensive Efficiency89.8

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

51.8%Effective FG%43.3%

51.8%True Shooting %48.1%

20.0%Turnover Rate19.6%

7.3%Free Throw Rate46.2%

20.0%3-Point Rate42.3%

0.62Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Stonehill won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.