Bucknell

10-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Bucknell

72.0%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -257

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBucknell 69

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreLafayette 76

Team Comparison

BucknellMetricLafayette

35.7MMH Power Index39.6

99.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

112.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-13.3Net Efficiency-7.4

2.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

67.7Tempo67.5

48.4%Effective FG%49.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-8.9Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–35.7), offensive efficiency (102.9–99.5), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.8), net efficiency (-7.4–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-1.4), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.7).

Final

Bucknell

79—81

Lafayette

Lafayette by 2 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BucknellTEAM STATLafayette

24-52FG25-52

46.0%FG%48.0%

7-193PT8-24

37.0%3PT%33.0%

24-32FT23-31

75.0%FT%74.0%

31Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists17

10Turnovers8

4Steals5

1Blocks1

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amon Dörries	C	24	6-9	2-3	2-4	2	2	0	0	16
Pat Curtin	G	29	4-9	1-5	6-8	4	1	0	0	15
Achile Spadone	G	39	4-13	1-4	5-5	10	5	1	1	14
Jayden Williams	G	33	5-8	2-3	1-2	6	3	2	0	13
Patrick O'Brien	F	17	2-2	0-0	9-11	1	0	1	0	13
Aleksander Pachucki	G	22	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Jacob Meachem	G	19	0-6	0-1	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Quin Berger	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	37	8-17	7-11	5-6	3	4	0	0	28
Andrew Phillips	G	37	7-16	1-8	4-5	7	1	1	0	19
Mark Butler	G	36	4-5	0-0	4-4	2	7	1	0	12
Shareef Jackson	F	17	3-5	0-0	2-4	3	2	0	0	8
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	25	1-3	0-1	3-4	7	0	0	1	5
Ryan Pettit	G	19	1-3	0-2	3-4	2	2	2	0	5
Misha Bednostin	C	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Joshua Wyche	G	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Luke Bevilacqua	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
KaiMani Murdock	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

120.6Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency120.6

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

52.9%Effective FG%55.8%

58.8%True Shooting %60.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

61.5%Free Throw Rate59.6%

36.5%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.