Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Morgan State

77.4%Norfolk State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorfolk State -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorfolk State -342

Norfolk State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 73

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreNorfolk State 82

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricNorfolk State

37.2MMH Power Index43.7

105.1Offensive Efficiency108.9

109.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

-4.2Net Efficiency3.7

-9.5Strength of Schedule-9.4

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.6

71.6Tempo70.1

48.6%Effective FG%51.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate44.6%

-3.0Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Norfolk State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorfolk State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–37.2), offensive efficiency (108.9–105.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.3), net efficiency (3.7–-4.2).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.1–0.6), ball security (17.5–17.6).

Final

Morgan State

79—78

Norfolk State

Morgan State by 1 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATNorfolk State

25-54FG29-70

46.0%FG%41.0%

9-243PT4-21

38.0%3PT%19.0%

20-26FT16-27

77.0%FT%59.0%

35Rebounds45

4Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists13

14Turnovers9

8Steals10

8Blocks1

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	37	10-19	7-13	6-7	3	0	0	1	33
Elijah Davis	G	39	5-9	0-1	6-9	4	4	1	0	16
Rob Lawson	G	35	2-10	1-6	4-4	4	6	2	0	9
Marland Harris	F	32	2-6	0-0	2-2	14	0	2	6	6
David Bumpass	G	9	2-3	1-2	1-1	0	0	0	1	6
Christian Meeks	G	29	2-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	2	0	5
Eugene Alvin	F	11	2-3	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	0	4
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Manok Lual	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Norfolk State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaquel Morris	F	21	11-12	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	1	23
Anthony McComb III	G	35	4-8	1-4	5-8	4	2	1	0	14
Elijah Jamison	G	24	4-13	1-4	4-7	3	2	0	0	13
Devon Ellis	F	30	4-9	2-3	1-2	7	1	3	0	11
Dian Wright-Forde	G	14	3-11	0-3	2-3	6	2	2	0	8
Adrean Newton	G	16	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Keyontae Lewis	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
My'kel Jenkins	G	17	0-5	0-2	2-2	5	3	1	0	2
Jordan Leaks	G	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	0
Melo Baines	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Yel Deeng	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

103.8Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

54.6%Effective FG%44.3%

59.5%True Shooting %47.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate11.9%

48.1%Free Throw Rate38.6%

44.4%3-Point Rate30.0%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Morgan State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.