Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Incarnate Word

48.5%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -106

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 72

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 72

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricHouston Christian

44.6MMH Power Index39.5

112.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

0.8Net Efficiency-7.8

-3.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

66.3Tempo65.4

52.2%Effective FG%49.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.1%

0.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–39.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–102.5), net efficiency (0.8–-7.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.9).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–111.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-3.6), recent form (-8.2–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

75—81

Houston Christian

Houston Christian by 6 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATHouston Christian

26-58FG24-54

45.0%FG%44.0%

10-243PT4-12

42.0%3PT%33.0%

13-22FT29-37

59.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists16

20Turnovers14

8Steals10

7Blocks5

26Fouls19

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pyke	F	37	10-16	4-5	3-5	8	1	2	3	27
Tahj Staveskie	G	39	6-16	1-6	3-6	4	4	1	0	16
Harrison Reede	G	26	3-7	3-7	1-2	3	1	2	0	10
Davion Bailey	G	34	2-8	2-5	2-3	3	2	1	0	8
Love Bettis	G	17	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Jayden Williams	C	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Mihael Tomic	G	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Marcus Glover	F	24	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	2	2
Harold Woods	G	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Amani Drummond	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Demari Williams	G	29	5-8	1-3	13-14	6	2	2	0	24
Trent Johnson	F	36	5-8	3-5	7-8	5	1	0	1	20
Demarco Bethea	F	36	6-14	0-0	0-0	8	2	3	0	12
Kylin Green	G	36	3-10	0-1	6-7	2	6	0	1	12
D'Aundre Samuels	G	28	4-9	0-2	1-2	2	3	2	1	9
Ryan Bartley	G	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	2	2	0	4
Mambourou Mara	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-4	5	0	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency112.3

112.3Defensive Efficiency104.0

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

53.4%Effective FG%48.1%

54.8%True Shooting %56.6%

27.2%Turnover Rate19.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate68.5%

41.4%3-Point Rate22.2%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.