Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Northwestern State

93.1%Stephen F. Austin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStephen F. Austin -17.8

PROJECTED TOTAL138.7

MODEL MONEYLINEStephen F. Austin -1349

Stephen F. Austin

28-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 60

Projected Total138.7

Projected ScoreStephen F. Austin 78

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricStephen F. Austin

41.3MMH Power Index60.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency114.3

109.0Defensive Efficiency99.4

-5.0Net Efficiency14.9

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.7

63.6Tempo67.0

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-3.2Average Margin10.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stephen F. Austin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStephen F. Austin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (114.3–104.0), defensive efficiency (99.4–109.0), net efficiency (14.9–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-1.8), free throw rate (41.2–30.3).

Final

Northwestern State

67—69

Stephen F. Austin

Stephen F. Austin by 2 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATStephen F. Austin

26-68FG26-61

38.0%FG%43.0%

6-163PT6-18

38.0%3PT%33.0%

9-13FT11-18

69.0%FT%61.0%

41Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists8

10Turnovers10

8Steals7

2Blocks3

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chip Brunt	G	23	7-10	2-2	3-5	3	0	0	0	19
Micah Thomas	G	37	8-19	2-4	0-0	4	5	2	0	18
Willie Williams	F	35	6-11	0-0	1-2	11	1	1	1	13
Chris Mubiru	G	26	2-6	2-5	2-2	5	0	1	1	8
Izzy Miles	G	23	1-7	0-2	3-4	0	0	0	0	5
Kordrick Turner	F	9	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Justin Redmond	G	15	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Omar Adegbola	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Moustapha Loum	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	0
Landyn Jumawan	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Larry	PG	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stephen F. Austin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keon Thompson	G	32	11-17	0-1	5-7	6	2	0	1	27
Lateef Patrick	G	33	4-14	2-7	3-5	5	2	2	0	13
Narit Chotikavanic	G	21	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Kam Burton	G	19	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Jerald Colonel	F	26	2-6	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	2	7
Gediminas Alisas	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Chrishawn Christmas	G	34	1-3	0-0	0-2	10	1	2	0	2
Ahamed Mohammed	G	13	0-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Christian Green	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Marcus Scurry	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

93.8Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency93.8

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

42.6%Effective FG%47.5%

45.2%True Shooting %49.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.2%

19.1%Free Throw Rate29.5%

23.5%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Stephen F. Austin won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.