Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Toledo

78.4%Akron

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAkron -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAkron -363

Akron

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 77

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreAkron 87

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricAkron

58.8MMH Power Index65.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency122.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

6.4Net Efficiency19.4

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.8

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.0

69.8Tempo71.6

55.1%Effective FG%58.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

30.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

4.5Average Margin13.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Akron HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAkron holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–58.8), offensive efficiency (122.7–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.6), net efficiency (19.4–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.3–-2.8), ball security (14.6–15.2), free throw rate (30.3–28.9).

Final

Toledo

81—91

Akron

Akron by 10 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATAkron

30-56FG35-68

54.0%FG%51.0%

11-203PT10-27

55.0%3PT%37.0%

10-13FT11-14

77.0%FT%79.0%

25Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds17

18Assists19

15Turnovers12

9Steals8

2Blocks—

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	39	7-15	3-4	5-6	5	8	1	0	22
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	39	8-14	4-7	0-0	5	4	2	0	20
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	26	5-8	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	1	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	25	4-6	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Austin Parks	C	21	3-4	1-1	1-3	2	1	0	1	8
Sean Craig	F	28	2-3	0-1	0-0	9	1	3	0	4
Will James Jr.	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Mynor Strong	G	17	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	2	0	2

Akron

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tavari Johnson	G	37	9-18	3-7	4-4	3	7	2	25
Amani Lyles	F	32	7-8	0-0	5-6	5	4	1	19
Eric Mahaffey	G	23	5-8	3-4	0-0	8	1	0	13
Evan Mahaffey	G	32	5-7	1-1	0-1	9	3	2	11
Zach Halligan	G	20	4-6	2-4	0-0	4	0	3	10
Shammah Scott	G	24	3-9	1-4	2-2	2	2	0	9
Sharron Young	G	16	2-10	0-5	0-1	3	0	0	4
Bowen Hardman	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Marvin Musiime-Kamali	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

115.7Offensive Efficiency130.0

130.0Defensive Efficiency115.7

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

63.4%Effective FG%58.8%

65.1%True Shooting %61.0%

21.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

23.2%Free Throw Rate20.6%

35.7%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Akron won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.