Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Arizona State

76.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -329

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 76

Projected Total160.5

Projected ScoreUCF 85

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricUCF

51MMH Power Index57.1

108.1Offensive Efficiency113.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

-2.8Net Efficiency3.3

7.0Strength of Schedule6.6

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

70.6Tempo71.2

51.3%Effective FG%53.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

40.2%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-1.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–51.0), offensive efficiency (113.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (110.0–110.9), net efficiency (3.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–6.6), free throw rate (40.2–31.1).

Final

Arizona State

76—79

UCF

UCF by 3 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATUCF

26-55FG29-65

47.0%FG%45.0%

10-233PT7-22

43.0%3PT%32.0%

14-20FT14-19

70.0%FT%74.0%

28Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists16

10Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks2

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	36	5-13	3-8	5-6	2	6	1	0	18
Anthony Johnson	G	22	4-8	2-3	2-2	5	1	2	0	12
Bryce Ford	G	27	4-10	3-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	11
Allen Mukeba	F	19	4-5	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	1	9
Massamba Diop	C	33	3-6	0-1	2-4	6	1	2	4	8
Santiago Trouet	F	25	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Andrija Grbovic	F	14	2-2	2-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Noah Meeusen	G	24	0-4	0-2	3-3	5	2	0	0	3

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	35	6-10	1-4	4-6	9	5	0	0	17
Jordan Burks	F	35	6-11	1-3	2-2	5	1	3	1	15
Jamichael Stillwell	F	28	6-12	1-3	1-1	9	1	2	0	14
Themus Fulks	G	38	3-12	0-0	6-8	4	6	1	0	12
Chris Johnson	G	16	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
John Bol	C	24	3-3	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	6
Carmelo Pacheco	G	14	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Devan Cambridge	F	10	0-6	0-3	1-2	0	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

108.9Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency108.9

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

56.4%Effective FG%50.0%

58.9%True Shooting %53.4%

14.4%Turnover Rate12.9%

36.4%Free Throw Rate29.2%

41.8%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

UCF won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.