Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.6%Virginia

16.4%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -510

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 81

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 71

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricNotre Dame

68.9MMH Power Index49.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

101.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

17.2Net Efficiency-0.9

5.2Strength of Schedule4.7

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

67.6Tempo68.0

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

11.6Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–49.7), offensive efficiency (119.0–110.3), defensive efficiency (101.8–111.2), net efficiency (17.2–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

Virginia

100—97

Notre Dame

Virginia by 3 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATNotre Dame

31-65FG29-61

48.0%FG%48.0%

10-293PT11-27

34.0%3PT%41.0%

28-35FT28-34

80.0%FT%82.0%

40Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds9

21Assists15

11Turnovers10

5Steals5

3Blocks5

27Fouls25

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	34	9-20	0-5	14-15	8	3	0	0	32
Sam Lewis	G	43	7-13	5-8	2-2	9	6	0	0	21
Chance Mallory	G	37	5-9	3-6	4-8	2	3	0	0	17
Devin Tillis	F	30	3-9	1-3	5-6	5	2	1	0	12
Dallin Hall	G	43	2-2	1-1	2-2	4	4	2	0	7
Johann Grunloh	C	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Ugonna Onyenso	C	17	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	3	4
Malik Thomas	G	22	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jacari White	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Martin Carrere	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Certa	G	40	10-19	5-13	9-11	2	1	0	0	34
Jalen Haralson	F	44	6-11	0-1	8-10	4	7	1	0	20
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	47	6-15	5-9	1-1	2	4	1	0	18
Brady Koehler	F	42	3-5	1-2	9-10	10	0	3	4	16
Carson Towt	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Garrett Sundra	F	25	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Sir Mohammed	G	14	0-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Logan Imes	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ryder Frost	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

127.6Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency127.6

3.8Net Efficiency-3.8

55.4%Effective FG%56.6%

61.3%True Shooting %62.9%

14.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

53.8%Free Throw Rate55.7%

44.6%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.91Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Virginia won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.