Syracuse

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Syracuse

80.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -400

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

SyracuseMetricNC State

52.2MMH Power Index60.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

106.6Defensive Efficiency108.6

2.6Net Efficiency9.8

5.6Strength of Schedule6.4

-15.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.0Tempo70.2

52.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

29.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

1.8Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), net efficiency (9.8–2.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.6), offensive rebounding (29.0–28.2), free throw rate (36.2–35.7).

Final

Syracuse

68—88

NC State

NC State by 20 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SyracuseTEAM STATNC State

26-67FG33-65

39.0%FG%51.0%

7-233PT7-24

30.0%3PT%29.0%

9-16FT15-18

56.0%FT%83.0%

33Rebounds45

15Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists21

11Turnovers11

8Steals8

4Blocks—

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donnie Freeman	F	34	9-18	2-4	4-4	10	0	2	0	24
J.J. Starling	G	28	7-19	2-6	1-2	0	0	1	0	17
Nate Kingz	G	29	2-5	2-4	0-1	3	2	3	0	6
Kiyan Anthony	G	17	2-5	0-2	2-4	0	0	2	1	6
William Kyle III	F	27	2-2	0-0	1-2	8	3	0	3	5
Naithan George	G	26	2-12	0-4	0-0	5	3	0	0	4
Tyler Betsey	F	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Calvin Russell III	G	2	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Sadiq White Jr.	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ibrahim Souare	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Fennell	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Zephir	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	34	9-16	5-9	0-0	6	5	0	23
Quadir Copeland	G	33	5-9	0-0	9-9	2	9	4	19
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	26	8-8	0-0	2-2	9	2	0	18
Musa Sagnia	F	14	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	10
Tre Holloman	G	24	2-8	1-4	2-4	7	2	2	7
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	32	2-8	1-5	0-1	2	1	1	5
Matt Able	G	21	1-6	0-4	2-2	7	2	0	4
Terrance Arceneaux	G	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

97.0Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency97.0

-28.5Net Efficiency28.5

44.0%Effective FG%56.2%

45.6%True Shooting %59.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

23.9%Free Throw Rate27.7%

34.3%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.91

Game Summary

NC State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.