Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Buffalo

74.4%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -291

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 74

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreBowling Green 83

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricBowling Green

49.7MMH Power Index54.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

2.7Net Efficiency13.5

0.0Strength of Schedule-4.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.9Tempo72.2

56.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate38.7%

1.8Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–49.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–112.2), net efficiency (13.5–2.7), recent form (1.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–112.6), strength of schedule (0.0–-4.7), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.4).

Final

Buffalo

89—78

Bowling Green

Buffalo by 11 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATBowling Green

29-52FG31-62

56.0%FG%50.0%

14-263PT7-20

54.0%3PT%35.0%

17-22FT9-15

77.0%FT%60.0%

30Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

9Turnovers10

5Steals4

2Blocks5

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	37	7-13	5-10	3-5	1	5	0	0	22
Angelo Brizzi	G	31	3-6	2-4	6-6	3	3	2	0	14
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	24	4-7	2-3	3-4	2	2	1	0	13
Tim Oboh	C	23	5-9	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	2	13
Daniel Freitag	G	29	4-9	2-5	2-2	3	4	0	0	12
Noah Batchelor	G	30	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Ezra McKenna	F	14	2-2	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Mikhail Pocknett	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	4

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	40	13-20	2-3	3-6	3	7	0	0	31
Troy Glover II	F	29	4-5	0-0	2-2	10	1	0	1	10
Sam Towns	F	34	4-10	1-4	0-0	6	1	1	3	9
Josiah Shackelford	G	24	4-8	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	9
Mayar Wol	F	24	2-8	1-6	2-3	2	2	1	0	7
Javon Ruffin	G	25	2-7	1-3	1-2	0	0	1	1	6
Justin Thomas	G	24	2-4	1-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	6

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

133.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency133.2

16.5Net Efficiency-16.5

69.2%Effective FG%55.6%

71.3%True Shooting %56.4%

13.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

42.3%Free Throw Rate24.2%

50.0%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.