George Washington

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%George Washington

78.2%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -359

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 75

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 85

Team Comparison

George WashingtonMetricSaint Louis

59.8MMH Power Index66.7

115.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

105.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

10.2Net Efficiency23.2

3.1Strength of Schedule0.3

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

70.5Tempo72.2

55.0%Effective FG%59.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

35.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

7.2Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.8), offensive efficiency (120.8–115.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.2), net efficiency (23.2–10.2).

George Washington COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.1–0.3), recent form (0.9–0.1), offensive rebounding (35.8–31.6).

Final

George Washington

76—79

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 3 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

George WashingtonTEAM STATSaint Louis

27-65FG28-63

42.0%FG%44.0%

8-303PT12-31

27.0%3PT%39.0%

14-21FT11-22

67.0%FT%50.0%

42Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists17

14Turnovers14

10Steals7

6Blocks—

21Fouls21

Player Box Score

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Jones	G	33	5-12	1-4	4-4	5	3	3	1	15
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	20	5-9	0-2	5-6	1	0	1	1	15
Trey Autry	G	35	4-8	4-8	1-1	2	0	0	0	13
Rafael Castro	F	33	5-9	0-0	2-5	18	1	3	4	12
Garrett Johnson	F	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Tre Dinkins	G	18	3-8	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Bubu Benjamin	G	14	1-3	0-2	2-4	5	1	0	0	4
Jean Aranguren	G	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	3
Luke Hunger	F	7	0-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Green	G	31	8-15	6-10	1-2	3	1	2	23
Robbie Avila	C	31	7-13	4-8	4-5	7	5	3	22
Kellen Thames	G	24	7-9	0-1	1-5	6	2	1	15
Quentin Jones	G	35	2-12	1-5	3-6	4	4	0	8
Ishan Sharma	F	25	1-4	0-3	2-2	4	0	1	4
Amari McCottry	G	23	1-4	1-2	0-1	5	3	0	3
Dion Brown	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	1	0	2
Paul Otieno	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency100.3

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

47.7%Effective FG%54.0%

50.7%True Shooting %53.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate34.9%

46.2%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.