Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.2%Western Michigan

26.8%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -273

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 79

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 74

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricNorthern Illinois

42.8MMH Power Index29.2

106.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

-6.7Net Efficiency-11.9

2.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.9Tempo69.7

50.3%Effective FG%48.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-4.7Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.9–99.7), net efficiency (-6.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (2.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–113.6), offensive rebounding (31.7–31.0), free throw rate (39.6–34.6).

Final

Western Michigan

65—85

Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois by 20 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

18-52FG32-64

35.0%FG%50.0%

7-223PT15-30

32.0%3PT%50.0%

22-27FT6-10

81.0%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists19

11Turnovers9

3Steals5

3Blocks1

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brady Swartz	G	28	4-9	2-6	6-9	6	0	2	0	16
Justice Williams	G	32	4-9	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	10
Trey Lewis	G	16	2-2	2-2	4-4	3	0	0	0	10
Sharod Barnes	G	16	0-2	0-1	9-10	3	0	0	1	9
EJ Ryans	G	30	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	3	1	0	8
Max Burton	F	28	3-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Jalen Griffith	G	18	1-7	0-4	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Michael Sulaka	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Declan Peterson	C	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	2
Carson Vis	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jayden Brewer	G	5	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Ducommun	G	35	7-15	7-12	0-0	1	4	2	0	21
Makhai Valentine	G	37	6-11	4-8	0-0	5	0	0	0	16
Taj Walters	G	30	7-12	2-5	0-0	8	1	2	0	16
Gianni Cobb	G	35	4-7	0-1	2-4	1	8	1	0	10
Gustav Winther	F	19	2-3	0-0	2-3	5	2	0	0	6
Daemar Kelly	G	14	2-5	2-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Hassan Washington	F	22	1-7	0-1	1-2	8	2	0	1	3
Isaiah Washington	G	3	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Wharton	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ladji Kante	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Stewart	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

106.9Offensive Efficiency139.8

139.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

-32.9Net Efficiency32.9

41.3%Effective FG%61.7%

50.1%True Shooting %61.8%

18.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

51.9%Free Throw Rate15.6%

42.3%3-Point Rate46.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.