Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.9%Boise State

19.1%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -424

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 81

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreSan José State 72

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSan José State

59.5MMH Power Index42

113.9Offensive Efficiency108.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

6.8Net Efficiency-9.8

4.2Strength of Schedule1.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

68.6Tempo66.2

52.7%Effective FG%50.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

42.7%Free Throw Rate34.2%

4.7Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–42.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–108.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

Boise State

89—58

San José State

Boise State by 31 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSan José State

33-56FG20-53

59.0%FG%38.0%

5-163PT8-22

31.0%3PT%36.0%

18-25FT10-18

72.0%FT%56.0%

39Rebounds20

10Offensive Rebounds8

23Assists10

10Turnovers12

4Steals3

2Blocks—

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	24	6-10	1-1	3-4	8	3	0	1	16
Andrew Meadow	F	24	7-12	1-4	0-1	5	2	1	0	15
Dylan Andrews	G	24	3-7	1-5	4-4	2	4	0	0	11
Pearson Carmichael	F	20	3-6	2-4	3-3	5	0	0	0	11
Bhan Buom	F	10	3-3	0-0	5-8	2	2	0	0	11
Aginaldo Neto	G	21	4-6	0-1	1-1	4	5	0	0	9
Javan Buchanan	F	20	2-6	0-1	2-4	7	1	1	0	6
Dominic Parolin	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Spencer Ahrens	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Ethan Lathan	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	0	0
Rayzhon Bergersen	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sadraque NgaNga	F	25	5-11	0-4	5-6	2	0	0	15
Jermaine Washington	G	30	4-12	4-8	1-2	1	1	0	13
Colby Garland	G	31	4-10	0-2	2-2	0	4	0	10
Adrian Myers	F	25	3-7	2-3	0-2	1	2	1	8
Pasha Goodarzi	G	33	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	6
Marcus Overstreet	F	25	2-4	0-0	1-3	7	1	0	5
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	29	0-4	0-1	1-3	5	0	2	1
Douglas Langford	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

133.2Offensive Efficiency86.8

86.8Defensive Efficiency133.2

46.4Net Efficiency-46.4

63.4%Effective FG%45.3%

65.6%True Shooting %47.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate18.3%

44.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

28.6%3-Point Rate41.5%

2.30Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Boise State won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.