USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%USC

90.7%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -975

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 68

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreIowa 82

Team Comparison

USCMetricIowa

48.3MMH Power Index64.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency118.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

0.9Net Efficiency13.2

2.5Strength of Schedule5.3

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

72.4Tempo63.0

50.7%Effective FG%56.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

0.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–48.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–108.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.6), net efficiency (13.2–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–30.2), free throw rate (45.3–36.2).

Final

USC

72—73

Iowa

Iowa by 1 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATIowa

28-53FG23-55

53.0%FG%42.0%

5-153PT8-25

33.0%3PT%32.0%

11-16FT19-22

69.0%FT%86.0%

29Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists11

15Turnovers15

6Steals12

4Blocks1

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Woods	G	40	12-17	2-4	7-8	3	3	4	0	33
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	33	5-15	3-7	0-1	2	1	0	2	13
Ezra Ausar	F	31	4-7	0-0	2-5	6	1	1	1	10
Alijah Arenas	G	27	3-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jacob Cofie	F	26	2-5	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	1	4
Gabe Dynes	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jerry Easter II	G	24	0-0	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	0	2
Jaden Brownell	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ryan Cornish	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	6-12	2-4	6-6	3	2	3	0	20
Tavion Banks	G	28	5-11	2-4	8-8	7	1	2	0	20
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	27	5-10	2-5	2-3	5	0	1	0	14
Isaia Howard	G	25	3-5	1-2	0-1	3	3	3	1	7
Kael Combs	G	33	2-6	0-2	2-2	4	4	0	0	6
Cooper Koch	F	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Cam Manyawu	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Tate Sage	G	12	0-4	0-3	1-2	0	0	2	0	1
Brendan Hausen	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

105.7Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency105.7

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

57.5%Effective FG%49.1%

59.4%True Shooting %55.8%

22.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.2%Free Throw Rate40.0%

28.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Iowa won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.