California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%California

68.0%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -212

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 77

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreFlorida State 81

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricFlorida State

56.5MMH Power Index58.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.9

104.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

7.0Net Efficiency3.4

2.8Strength of Schedule5.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

69.9Tempo71.8

52.6%Effective FG%52.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

4.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–108.5), net efficiency (7.0–3.4), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4), ball security (14.9–15.2).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–56.5), offensive efficiency (111.9–111.8), strength of schedule (5.7–2.8).

Final

California

61—63

Florida State

Florida State by 2 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATFlorida State

20-58FG23-63

34.0%FG%37.0%

10-283PT6-28

36.0%3PT%21.0%

11-15FT11-21

73.0%FT%52.0%

41Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists11

11Turnovers7

3Steals5

—Blocks3

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Justin Pippen	G	31	5-13	4-9	5-6	8	3	0	19
Chris Bell	F	24	5-11	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	13
Dai Dai Ames	G	35	5-15	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	11
John Camden	F	33	3-9	2-6	1-2	5	0	1	9
DeJuan Campbell	G	17	1-4	0-0	3-3	4	1	0	5
Milos Ilic	C	29	1-3	0-0	1-2	11	1	1	3
Semetri Carr	G	13	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	1
Mantas Kocanas	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Nolan Dorsey	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chauncey Wiggins	F	31	7-9	3-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	18
Robert McCray V	G	25	5-10	0-3	1-1	3	4	2	0	11
Lajae Jones	G	31	3-14	0-4	3-6	8	1	1	2	9
AJ Swinton	F	23	2-6	2-4	0-2	4	0	1	0	6
Alex Steen	F	21	2-3	0-0	1-3	5	0	0	0	5
Thomas Bassong	F	21	1-7	0-3	3-4	6	1	0	1	5
Kobe MaGee	G	12	1-5	1-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	4
Cam Miles	G	8	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Martin Somerville	G	28	1-6	0-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

89.6Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency89.6

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

43.1%Effective FG%41.3%

46.8%True Shooting %43.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate10.3%

25.9%Free Throw Rate33.3%

48.3%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Florida State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.