Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Mississippi State

82.9%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -485

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreLSU 88

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricLSU

44.6MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

113.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.8Net Efficiency4.2

5.0Strength of Schedule4.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

72.3Tempo70.5

51.6%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-4.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.3–113.2), net efficiency (4.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.5).

Final

Mississippi State

80—66

LSU

Mississippi State by 14 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATLSU

28-55FG25-58

51.0%FG%43.0%

10-213PT4-20

48.0%3PT%20.0%

14-20FT12-23

70.0%FT%52.0%

43Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists7

16Turnovers7

5Steals12

3Blocks5

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	32	4-12	1-6	6-7	2	3	0	0	15
Quincy Ballard	C	23	5-5	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	0	13
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	27	3-8	2-3	3-4	3	4	0	1	11
Sergej Macura	F	28	5-9	0-2	0-0	10	1	1	0	10
Jayden Epps	G	21	3-7	3-4	0-0	1	4	1	0	9
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	27	3-5	1-2	1-2	3	1	2	0	8
King Grace	G	13	3-4	2-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	8
Achor Achor	F	12	2-4	1-2	1-2	4	0	0	1	6
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	27	6-11	1-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	15
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	28	6-13	2-4	0-1	2	4	1	0	14
Rashad King	G	20	5-9	1-4	3-4	2	0	1	0	14
Pablo Tamba	F	35	3-5	0-2	4-10	5	2	3	4	10
Marquel Sutton	F	24	1-7	0-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Mike Nwoko	F	17	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Robert Miller III	F	17	2-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	3	1	4
Jalen Reece	G	24	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	2	0	1
Mazi Mosley	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

118.2Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency118.2

20.7Net Efficiency-20.7

60.0%Effective FG%46.6%

62.0%True Shooting %47.9%

23.7%Turnover Rate10.3%

36.4%Free Throw Rate39.7%

38.2%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.