Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Jacksonville State

60.3%Florida International

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida International -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida International -152

Florida International

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreFlorida International 78

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricFlorida International

51.2MMH Power Index50.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

6.4Net Efficiency3.7

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.5

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

67.2Tempo73.6

51.0%Effective FG%51.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

44.5%Free Throw Rate40.1%

4.3Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–50.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–105.9), net efficiency (6.4–3.7), recent form (-0.3–-0.9).

Florida International COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (-1.5–-2.3), shooting efficiency (51.6–51.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

78—74

Florida International

Jacksonville State by 4 • 79.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATFlorida International

26-54FG26-59

48.0%FG%44.0%

4-183PT6-21

22.0%3PT%29.0%

22-32FT16-22

69.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists8

16Turnovers19

11Steals9

4Blocks3

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	35	10-18	1-2	10-15	5	4	4	0	31
Jacoby Hill	G	37	5-8	1-2	4-6	5	3	1	0	15
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	20	3-6	0-1	4-6	3	0	1	2	10
AC Bryant	G	23	2-11	1-8	2-3	5	1	0	0	7
Iaroslav Niagu	F	22	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	6
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jaye Nash	G	23	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	4	3	0	2
Jamar Franklin	G	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Thomas Tut	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Toby Nnadozie	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Florida International

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Stephenson	G	33	7-14	4-7	2-4	6	1	4	0	20
Julian Mackey	G	23	3-8	1-5	7-7	1	2	0	0	14
Zawdie Jackson	G	28	3-5	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	9
Hamed Olayinka	F	20	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	9
Ashton Williamson	G	23	3-10	0-4	2-2	5	2	2	0	8
Eric Dibami	F	33	2-6	0-0	2-5	10	1	0	3	6
Brit Harris	G	17	2-5	0-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Thiago Sucatzky	G	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Ibrahim Olajuwon	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

79.9Possessions79.9

97.6Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency97.6

5.0Net Efficiency-5.0

51.9%Effective FG%49.2%

56.4%True Shooting %53.3%

20.2%Turnover Rate23.6%

59.3%Free Throw Rate37.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 79.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.