Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Evansville

89.6%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -862

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 67

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreDrake 81

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricDrake

31.6MMH Power Index46.4

98.5Offensive Efficiency109.5

112.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

-13.9Net Efficiency0.4

1.8Strength of Schedule0.3

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

68.0Tempo68.6

50.0%Effective FG%52.2%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

30.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-9.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (109.5–98.5), defensive efficiency (109.1–112.4), net efficiency (0.4–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.3).

Final

Evansville

78—82

Drake

Drake by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATDrake

30-55FG22-51

55.0%FG%43.0%

11-223PT10-32

50.0%3PT%31.0%

7-12FT28-38

58.0%FT%74.0%

28Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists12

11Turnovers7

5Steals7

2Blocks3

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leif Moeller	G	40	8-16	3-6	1-2	7	7	2	0	20
Bryce Quinet	G	35	5-9	1-2	5-6	0	3	0	1	16
AJ Casey	F	32	7-11	1-2	0-2	2	4	1	0	15
Joshua Hughes	F	26	4-6	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	1	11
Alex Hemenway	G	34	3-8	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Connor Turnbull	F	12	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Kaia Berridge	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Trent Hundley	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
James Dyson-Merwe	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	37	7-15	2-6	10-13	6	5	2	0	26
Andrew Alia	G	38	3-8	3-7	10-10	9	3	1	0	19
Owen Larson	G	34	5-13	3-10	0-0	0	2	0	0	13
Eli Shetlar	G	36	4-7	2-5	1-1	8	0	1	0	11
Okku Federiko	F	26	3-3	0-0	2-4	2	1	2	3	8
Isaiah Carr	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Jaehshon Thomas	G	7	0-3	0-2	2-4	0	0	1	0	2
Griffen Goodbary	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Braden Appelhans	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

116.6Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency116.6

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

64.5%Effective FG%52.9%

64.3%True Shooting %59.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate10.4%

21.8%Free Throw Rate74.5%

40.0%3-Point Rate62.7%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Drake won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.