Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.4%Belmont

30.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -227

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 79

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreValparaiso 74

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricValparaiso

61.8MMH Power Index49.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

103.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

14.9Net Efficiency0.8

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.7Tempo67.5

60.7%Effective FG%48.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

10.5Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–49.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–106.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.8), net efficiency (14.9–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (15.6–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.8).

Final

Belmont

78—77

Valparaiso

Belmont by 1 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATValparaiso

27-50FG26-61

54.0%FG%43.0%

11-243PT9-27

46.0%3PT%33.0%

13-20FT16-21

65.0%FT%76.0%

32Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists11

15Turnovers9

3Steals8

2Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eoin Dillon	F	23	7-11	5-7	4-4	1	3	0	0	23
Jabez Jenkins	G	33	4-6	1-2	5-8	5	1	1	0	14
Jack Smiley	G	20	4-7	3-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Tyler Lundblade	G	31	4-11	2-8	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Drew Scharnowski	F	24	3-4	0-0	0-4	4	8	1	1	6
Brigham Rogers	F	24	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	6
Sam Orme	F	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Isaiah West	G	25	0-4	0-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Aidan Noyes	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	35	6-15	3-7	0-0	4	0	2	0	15
Rakim Chaney	G	32	5-12	4-7	1-2	3	3	1	0	15
Shon Tupuola	C	18	4-4	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	2	12
JT Pettigrew	F	27	3-9	0-2	5-5	6	2	2	0	11
Justus McNair	G	21	3-9	1-5	1-1	1	2	1	0	8
Tucker Tornatta	C	17	2-4	0-2	4-5	4	1	0	0	8
Carter Hopoi	F	10	2-2	1-1	1-3	2	0	0	0	6
Brody Whitaker	G	22	1-4	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	2
Sader Servilus	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mark Brown Jr.	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Isaiah Barnes	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

114.2Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency114.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

65.0%Effective FG%50.0%

65.5%True Shooting %54.2%

22.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

48.0%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Belmont won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.