Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Marshall

55.5%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -125

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 76

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 78

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricTexas State

52MMH Power Index49.4

114.7Offensive Efficiency107.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.4

4.4Net Efficiency4.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-4.7

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.7Tempo68.6

55.2%Effective FG%51.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

3.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–49.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.7), net efficiency (4.4–4.3), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–110.3), recent form (9.1–-4.9), offensive rebounding (34.3–32.1).

Final

Marshall

68—72

Texas State

Texas State by 4 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATTexas State

28-62FG26-58

45.0%FG%45.0%

5-223PT7-15

23.0%3PT%47.0%

7-12FT13-19

58.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists14

7Turnovers13

7Steals6

8Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wyatt Fricks	F	35	7-12	2-5	0-2	2	0	0	4	16
Noah Otshudi	G	36	6-13	0-3	3-3	4	2	0	0	15
Jalen Speer	G	38	6-16	2-8	0-0	5	3	3	0	14
Landen Joseph	G	24	2-6	1-4	2-4	0	1	2	0	7
Erich Harding	F	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	6
Matt Van Komen	C	17	2-4	0-0	1-1	10	0	0	3	5
Kai Spears	G	9	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Shamarrie Hugie	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Slay	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Wilson Dubinsky	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Drew Fuquay	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	34	6-12	2-4	3-4	4	3	2	0	17
Kyndall Davis	G	32	5-9	1-5	4-8	9	4	1	0	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	33	4-9	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	10
Jalen Bolden	G	22	4-8	2-3	0-1	5	2	0	0	10
Robert Fields	C	25	1-3	0-0	4-4	7	0	1	0	6
DJ Hall	F	17	2-8	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Makai Willis	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Franck Emmou	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Tay Knox	C	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Jaelyn Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

98.7Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency98.7

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

49.2%Effective FG%50.9%

50.2%True Shooting %53.7%

10.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

19.4%Free Throw Rate32.8%

35.5%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Texas State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.