Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Colorado State

73.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -280

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 71

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSan Diego State

55.4MMH Power Index60.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.2Net Efficiency11.0

0.4Strength of Schedule3.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

64.7Tempo70.8

58.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

Colorado State

50—73

San Diego State

San Diego State by 23 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

16-48FG27-50

33.0%FG%54.0%

8-303PT6-13

27.0%3PT%46.0%

10-14FT13-17

71.0%FT%76.0%

24Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists10

17Turnovers12

5Steals10

1Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jevin Muniz	G	28	3-4	1-2	2-2	2	5	0	0	9
Josh Pascarelli	G	27	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Jase Butler	G	23	2-5	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	22	2-8	2-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	12	2-2	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Kyle Jorgensen	F	30	2-9	1-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Carey Booth	F	12	1-5	0-2	2-3	1	0	2	0	4
Jojo McIver	G	14	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Nikola Djapa	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	0
Darnez Slater	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jon Mekonnen	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	30	7-9	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	16
Pharaoh Compton	F	18	6-7	0-0	3-3	5	0	2	1	15
Miles Byrd	G	25	3-8	1-4	3-4	3	0	3	0	10
BJ Davis	G	29	3-8	1-3	2-2	3	5	2	0	9
Taj DeGourville	G	23	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	2	2	0	9
Sean Newman Jr.	G	18	2-3	0-0	2-2	0	3	1	0	6
Miles Heide	F	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Cam Lawin	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jeremiah Oden	F	18	0-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Tae Simmons	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	1
Thokbor Majak	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Raymar Gonzales	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

82.1Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency82.1

-37.8Net Efficiency37.8

41.7%Effective FG%60.0%

45.7%True Shooting %62.8%

28.0%Turnover Rate19.6%

29.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

62.5%3-Point Rate26.0%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.