Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Western Carolina

73.1%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -272

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 73

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 81

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricEast Tennessee State

53MMH Power Index57.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency115.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency102.8

1.6Net Efficiency12.3

-0.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

69.7Tempo67.4

51.1%Effective FG%55.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

30.8%Free Throw Rate35.0%

1.1Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.8–111.0), net efficiency (12.3–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-1.6), recent form (13.1–3.7), offensive rebounding (36.1–28.8).

Final

Western Carolina

90—88

East Tennessee State

Western Carolina by 2 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

29-56FG26-53

52.0%FG%49.0%

11-263PT8-22

42.0%3PT%36.0%

21-28FT28-35

75.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists14

11Turnovers6

4Steals7

2Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julien Soumaoro	G	34	5-10	5-9	4-4	2	3	0	0	19
Cord Stansberry	G	33	5-12	0-5	9-12	1	5	0	0	19
Marcus Kell	F	30	5-9	1-4	3-4	4	2	0	0	14
Samuel Dada	F	33	6-6	0-0	0-0	13	3	0	0	12
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	20	4-6	3-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	11
Tahlan Pettway	G	17	2-3	2-3	4-6	1	1	2	0	10
Justin Johnson	G	12	1-7	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
CJ Hyland	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Tayeshaun Smith	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	2	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	39	8-15	2-7	6-7	2	7	3	0	24
Cam Morris III	F	28	4-7	1-2	6-8	5	1	1	0	15
Blake Barkley	F	36	2-6	0-1	9-11	7	1	0	0	13
Jaylen Smith	G	21	4-9	4-7	0-0	1	4	0	0	12
Allen Strothers	G	20	5-7	0-1	1-1	5	1	2	0	11
Jordan McCullum	F	20	2-5	0-1	4-6	1	0	0	2	8
Maki Johnson	G	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Gabe Sisk	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Sutherland	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

131.6Offensive Efficiency128.7

128.7Defensive Efficiency131.6

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

61.6%Effective FG%56.6%

64.9%True Shooting %63.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate8.9%

50.0%Free Throw Rate66.0%

46.4%3-Point Rate41.5%

1.64Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.