UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%UMBC

46.0%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -117

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 70

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreVermont 70

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricVermont

59.1MMH Power Index53.1

113.0Offensive Efficiency112.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

14.0Net Efficiency7.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

65.5Tempo65.4

54.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

34.1%Free Throw Rate32.4%

9.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

UMBC

55—64

Vermont

Vermont by 9 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATVermont

17-52FG20-49

33.0%FG%41.0%

6-263PT11-30

23.0%3PT%37.0%

15-21FT13-22

71.0%FT%59.0%

33Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists13

7Turnovers9

4Steals1

2Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caden Diggs	F	29	5-9	0-2	4-4	3	2	1	1	14
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	28	4-12	2-6	3-5	4	0	1	0	13
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	33	2-8	2-6	2-4	4	1	2	0	8
Jah'Likai King	G	28	3-10	2-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Ace Valentine	G	35	1-7	0-4	3-4	4	3	0	0	5
Josh Odunowo	F	19	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Riley Jacobs	F	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Daylon Dickerson	F	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	1	0
Cougar Downing	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	33	7-11	4-8	0-0	7	0	0	0	18
Lucas Mari	G	23	4-8	3-7	5-6	6	1	0	0	16
Ben Johnson	G	30	4-7	3-6	0-0	3	2	0	1	11
Gus Yalden	F	29	2-13	0-6	4-6	3	5	0	0	8
Sean Blake	G	33	1-3	0-0	3-7	10	5	1	0	5
Ben Michaels	F	28	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	2	4
Jackson Skipper	F	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Noah Barnett	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	0
David Simon	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

86.2Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency86.2

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

38.5%Effective FG%52.0%

44.4%True Shooting %53.8%

10.9%Turnover Rate14.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate44.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate61.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Vermont won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.