Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Saint Francis

70.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChicago State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEChicago State -242

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 71

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreChicago State 77

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricChicago State

32.7MMH Power Index36.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency99.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency114.9

-13.5Net Efficiency-15.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

70.6Tempo66.2

49.8%Effective FG%45.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-9.5Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Francis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Francis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (101.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (114.7–114.9), net efficiency (-13.5–-15.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–45.6).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (36.1–32.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.3), recent form (-4.3–-10.5).

Final

Saint Francis

75—80

Chicago State

Chicago State by 5 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATChicago State

24-53FG24-55

45.0%FG%44.0%

6-303PT6-21

20.0%3PT%29.0%

21-28FT26-33

75.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists11

18Turnovers13

4Steals12

1Blocks1

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Russell	G	39	7-12	3-8	6-8	2	5	2	0	23
Ahmad Harrison	G	35	6-16	2-10	4-6	0	1	1	0	18
Gestin Liberis	F	29	6-6	0-0	5-5	5	1	0	0	17
Cameron Tweedy	F	28	4-5	0-0	3-3	11	0	0	0	11
Victor Payne	G	29	1-7	1-7	2-4	6	4	0	1	5
Brandon Russell	G	19	0-4	0-2	1-2	3	3	1	0	1
Paris Papadatos	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trey Weiand	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KJ Swain Jr.	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Tankersley	G	28	6-9	0-1	7-10	1	4	2	0	19
Braelon Bush	G	28	8-11	3-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	19
CJ Ray	F	35	3-10	2-3	2-2	4	3	0	0	10
Joseph Owens	F	27	2-3	0-0	6-7	5	1	1	1	10
Doyel Cockrill III	G	26	2-13	1-8	5-6	9	1	3	0	10
Corey Sands	G	22	2-6	0-4	5-6	4	1	1	0	9
Malek Robinson	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Dakari Thomas	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Dailliss Cox	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Daniel Zatsepin	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

105.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency105.6

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

50.9%Effective FG%49.1%

56.6%True Shooting %56.6%

24.9%Turnover Rate18.7%

52.8%Free Throw Rate60.0%

56.6%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.