Lipscomb

18-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Lipscomb

50.8%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -103

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLipscomb 75

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Team Comparison

LipscombMetricJacksonville

47.9MMH Power Index43.6

111.3Offensive Efficiency109.8

107.6Defensive Efficiency110.3

3.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-2.5Strength of Schedule-4.8

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

68.8Tempo66.6

54.8%Effective FG%51.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

25.9%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

26.5%Free Throw Rate33.9%

2.5Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lipscomb HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLipscomb holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.9–43.6), offensive efficiency (111.3–109.8), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.3), net efficiency (3.7–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–25.9), free throw rate (33.9–26.5).

Final

Lipscomb

65—70

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 5 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LipscombTEAM STATJacksonville

26-55FG26-53

47.0%FG%49.0%

6-203PT6-18

30.0%3PT%33.0%

7-10FT12-15

70.0%FT%80.0%

25Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists9

7Turnovers7

2Steals6

4Blocks5

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lipscomb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Charlie Williams	C	31	10-16	2-4	0-1	2	3	0	2	22
Mateo Esmeraldo	G	35	5-8	1-2	0-0	3	7	1	0	11
Ethan Duncan	G	22	4-7	2-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Ross Candelino	G	25	3-5	0-2	2-3	5	1	0	1	8
Titas Sargiunas	F	23	2-8	1-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	7
Grant Asman	F	31	1-6	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Or Ashkenazi	F	15	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Kellan Boylan	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kennedy Okpara	F	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Cole Middleton	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Rivers	F	30	7-11	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	0	17
Hayden Wood	G	33	6-11	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	2	14
Evan Sterck	G	33	3-7	2-6	3-4	2	4	1	0	11
Allen Udemadu	F	15	2-4	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	7
Jaylen Jones	G	25	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	22	2-6	0-2	1-1	3	1	2	0	5
Chris Arias	G	7	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	25	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	1	4
Jaylen Jordon	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.7

115.7Defensive Efficiency107.4

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

52.7%Effective FG%54.7%

54.4%True Shooting %58.2%

11.3%Turnover Rate11.8%

18.2%Free Throw Rate28.3%

36.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.