Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Central Connecticut

58.5%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -141

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 71

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreWagner 74

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricWagner

44.4MMH Power Index42.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency105.5

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

4.4Net Efficiency-0.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.0

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.3Tempo67.6

54.0%Effective FG%50.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.6%

2.9Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Central Connecticut

62—55

Wagner

Central Connecticut by 7 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATWagner

22-49FG17-54

45.0%FG%31.0%

6-213PT6-27

29.0%3PT%22.0%

12-16FT15-22

75.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists9

9Turnovers7

4Steals3

2Blocks2

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Frazier	F	27	7-8	0-0	3-3	4	1	0	0	17
Melo Sanchez	G	29	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Daniel James	F	21	3-4	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Darin Smith Jr.	F	29	2-8	0-3	3-4	5	0	0	0	7
Ashton Reynolds	G	18	2-3	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	2	7
Roddy Jones	G	12	2-7	2-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Nico Ashley	F	14	1-4	1-1	2-3	0	3	0	0	5
Jay Rodgers	G	29	1-6	0-2	0-1	2	4	2	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-1	11	2	1	0	2

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Travis Gray	G	27	4-9	2-7	7-8	5	1	1	0	17
Nick Jones	G	30	4-10	0-5	2-2	2	1	1	1	10
Binael Basil	F	23	2-11	0-0	4-9	8	2	0	0	8
John Awoke	G	33	3-6	1-4	0-1	7	2	0	0	7
Jaden Baker	G	37	2-8	2-5	0-0	5	3	0	1	6
Eddie Placer	G	20	1-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Bryan Akanmu	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Brown	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Michael Cooper	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency91.5

91.5Defensive Efficiency103.2

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

51.0%Effective FG%37.0%

54.8%True Shooting %42.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate11.8%

32.7%Free Throw Rate40.7%

42.9%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.